RJ Bell is the founder and CEO of Pregame.com, a sports betting website that includes forums, odds, contests, and picks (both of the free and for purchase varieties). It is one of the most successful sites of its kind, in no small part due to the popularity of Bell, who has accumulated over 80K Twitter followers and established himself as the mainstream media's go-to "expert" for stories involving gambling on sports.
An American success story if there every was one. That's only one side of it, though. In some corners of the internet (including this blog), there is a feeling that Bell has not found his success in a legitimate way. This is the 14th post in a series detailing the reasoning behind that particular feeling. If you'd like to start at the beginning, it's here.
This man is out of control. From Monday afternoon:
Entering this week, #Colts only team with 6 covers against the Vegas number.
— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) November 3, 2014
Great info as always. A slight disagreement, though:
@RJinVegas aren't the chiefs 7-1? versus the #? Only loss in week 1.
— Steve Marsicek (@smarsicek19) November 3, 2014
Hmm. For some clarity, let's check Covers (excluding Week 9, because "entering this week"):
Okay, fair enough. If you count the 49ers game as a loss (or even a push), the Chiefs only had five ATS covers coming into the week. Makes sense, as long as you don't...
#Chiefs have covered the Vegas spread 7 STRAIGHT games - by a combined 91 points.
— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) November 6, 2014
Oh damn it.
Don't see any getting around this one. RJ is using KC +4.5/5 to make the Colts stat work, and KC +5.5 to claim they've covered seven straight. He was corrected twice along the way, and obviously ignored the haters both times.
@keithlaw @WillBrinson You may or may not agree. My goal is to provide accurate facts for people to consider and be entertained by.
— RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) October 17, 2014
Previous Long Con post: #TERNDZ (Part Two)
RJ is a joke. Just this year, in support of his garbage trends, among things, he's simultaneously: (a) claimed a +12 2005 NBA line when every database on earth shows +15 or higher; (b) argued that NFL closing lines should be determined by reference to the amount of money bet on a particular line, regardless of the closing number (DEN-1@NE 2013); (c) argued that NFL closing lines should be determined by reference to the biggest and sharpest books' closing number, regardless of amount of money bet (NYJ+7@GB 2014); and, (d) cited Sportsbook.ag, a notorious stiff book, for off-market futures numbers (AUB 12-1 to win Nat'l Champ. as of 11/4/14).
ReplyDeleteSee post #363 here: http://www.roughingthepunter.com/showthread.php?t=3192&page=37